Designing Supply Chain Systems
The most complicated way to understand a supply chain is to look at it as a
system. (I think that this perspective is often the most useful.) Like many other
systems that we encounter every day, supply chains are made up of intercon-
nected components that can behave in surprising ways.
Your car is a good example. You expect your car to move you from Point A to
Point B. In fact, you probably take for granted that your car will take you to Point B
any time you want to go there. But your car is a system, so a dead battery, a broken
fuel pump, or worn-out brakes could bring the whole thing to a halt (or, in the
case of the worn-out brakes, not bring it to a halt).
Supply chains are systems too. The components that make up supply chains are
people, processes, and technologies. Each of these components needs to be pre-
pared and managed correctly for the system to operate as expected.
When you look at them as systems, you begin to see that supply chains have
underlying rules and patterns that are key to understanding how they work.
A good example of one of these patterns occurs when a company experiences wild
swings in inventory levels. It can be difficult for people in the company to under-
stand why these swings occur until you look at the supply chain as a system. Then
you can recognize a pattern called the Bullwhip Effect, in which inventory peaks
and valleys are amplified as they move upstream from one step to the next in a
supply chain. The Bullwhip Effect, which occurs often in supply chain systems, is
a normal, predictable phenomenon that occurs even when everyone in the supply
chain makes decisions that seem to be logical from their point of view. To fix the
problem, you need to change the system, which means understanding what is
really happening.
